Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.027579 0.030302 0.032991 0.035840 0.038768 0.041683 0.044801
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.021668 0.026029 0.030452 0.035246 0.040271 0.045360 0.050885
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.017573 0.022990 0.028620 0.034838 0.041454 0.048238 0.055679
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.014237 0.020362 0.026885 0.034214 0.042115 0.050297 0.059344
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.011749 0.018407 0.025667 0.033951 0.042980 0.052406 0.062895
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.010068 0.017197 0.025138 0.034316 0.044408 0.055011 0.066866
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.007956 0.015302 0.023714 0.033586 0.044554 0.056157 0.069196
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.006492 0.014052 0.022934 0.033499 0.045332 0.057921 0.072126
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005078 0.012725 0.021983 0.033152 0.045769 0.059265 0.074551
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003764 0.011382 0.020935 0.032635 0.045966 0.060302 0.076603
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002283 0.009576 0.019226 0.031287 0.045180 0.060221 0.077401
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001800 0.009184 0.019235 0.031915 0.046591 0.062527 0.080765
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001076 0.008345 0.018765 0.032115 0.047686 0.064667 0.084160
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000308 0.007066 0.017689 0.031604 0.048003 0.065993 0.086723
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005963 0.016758 0.031221 0.048434 0.067420 0.089374
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004842 0.015696 0.030622 0.048574 0.068489 0.091598
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004003 0.014950 0.030368 0.049083 0.069939 0.094213
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003533 0.014707 0.030720 0.050276 0.072138 0.097630
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002628 0.013671 0.030018 0.050197 0.072877 0.099408
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002080 0.013139 0.029933 0.050827 0.074396 0.102029
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001499 0.012443 0.029600 0.051137 0.075533 0.104206
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000944 0.011650 0.029102 0.051226 0.076399 0.106062
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000301 0.010311 0.027806 0.050319 0.076104 0.106601